Financial Benchmarks Display Bullish Trend After FOMC Announcement
Following the recent session of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC), the Federal Reserve has decided to keep interest rates unchanged. This decision has sparked a positive reaction in the market, driven by the expectation of rate reductions in 2024 and influenced by Fed Chair Jerome Powell's dovish stance. As a result, there has been a notable rise in U.S. stocks, the crypto economy, and precious metals like gold and silver.
After the FOMC's announcement, major U.S. stock indices have experienced significant growth, reflecting the market's optimistic mood post-meeting. The crypto sector has also rallied, with a notable 3.66% increase, including a 4% surge in bitcoin (BTC). Additionally, traditional safe-haven assets like gold and silver have seen a rise of 2.41% and 4.48% respectively, indicating a widespread positive response to the Fed's decision.
Powell Emphasizes Cautious Monetary Policy and Economic Outlook
In his comments following the meeting, Fed Chair Jerome Powell discussed the current economic situation. While he stated that the economy is not currently in a recession, he did not dismiss the possibility of one in the future. Powell highlighted the importance of careful monetary policy, emphasizing the need to avoid the mistake of keeping rates too high for too long. He also acknowledged the progress made in core inflation and non-housing services inflation, indicating a cautious yet adaptive approach to future monetary policy adjustments.
Contrary to speculations in the market, further rate hikes appear unlikely. Powell hinted at a shift in the central bank's policy, suggesting that the current policy rate is likely at or near its peak for this tightening cycle. This aligns with the belief among speculators that the Fed may have finished hiking rates and that rate cuts could be on the horizon in 2024. The FOMC's statement and Powell's remarks highlight the Fed's commitment to achieving its 2% inflation target, but the methods to achieve this target seem to be evolving.
Market Experts Offer Commentary on Powell's Speech
Several market experts have shared their insights following Powell's speech. Economist Peter Schiff commented on social media platform X, stating, "The only reason Powell can claim he won the inflation war without inflicting any collateral damage on the economy or employment is because he didn't actually win, he surrendered." Schiff added, "The only reason the phony economy and bull market are still alive is that inflation is not dead."
Sven Henrich of Northman Trader also offered his perspective, saying, "By further fanning the fire of easing financial conditions, Powell has abandoned all his previous tough talk which the market had already ignored anyways. The credibility destruction is now complete." Henrich further emphasized that Powell claims the Fed is at a restrictive policy level, while financial conditions have eased to the same loose levels they were when they started raising rates.
Another account on social media, known as "QE Infinity," posted, "Powell just poured a giant can of lighter fluid on a fire that was about to burn out. Consequences be damned." The FOMC's decision to maintain the federal funds rate was influenced by various factors, including persistent inflation concerns and the broader economic climate.
However, despite Powell's indication that rate hikes may be reaching their limit and rate reductions could occur in 2024, the CME Fedwatch tool predicts a rate increase at the next FOMC meeting in January. The market anticipates a hike with a probability of 89.7%, while 10.3% foresee no change.
What's Your Take on the Fed's Stance?
Now, it's time to hear from you. What do you think about the Federal Reserve's current stance? Do you expect more rate hikes or rate cuts in the future? Share your thoughts and opinions about this subject in the comments section below.
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